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Hey everyone, I hope you had a great week, here's a quick recap of last week's plan: Equities had a solid week with broad demand on Wednesday. The S&P 500 finished (+5.7%) and Nasdaq 100 (7.4%). The broad demand is shown by the 90% upside day (blue arrow), which helps address the 90% downside day we saw last week. Up next, bulls are hoping for a follow-through … [Read more...] about Weekly Update – April 12th, 2025

Hey everyone, I hope you had a great week, here's a quick recap of last week's plan: The only good part about this week is that it's over. The S&P 500 finished (-9.1%) and Nasdaq 100 (-9.8%). If you invested in the S&P 500 at the start of 2024, you would be up just 6.4%. Friday's >90% DVOL is very concerning. It could signal a washout, as it did in August … [Read more...] about Weekly Update – April 4th, 2025

Hey everyone, I hope you had a great week, here's a quick recap of last week's plan: Equities started the week with a big gap up, but fell hard Friday after a hot PCE. The S&P 500 finished (-1.5%) and Nasdaq 100 (-2.4%). Price closed above the 200-day moving average twice this week (black line), which looked encouraging for bulls. Unfortunately, that enthusiasm … [Read more...] about Weekly Update – March 28th, 2025

Hey everyone, I hope you had a great week, here's a quick recap of last week's plan: Equities had their first positive week in 5 weeks. The S&P 500 finished (+0.5%) and Nasdaq 100 (+0.3%). The Russell 2K was strongest at (+1.1%) We saw nice buying on Monday, with 86% of NYSE shares trading up, but still have not seen a follow-through day. I wrote last week that … [Read more...] about Weekly Update – March 21st, 2025

Hey everyone, I hope you had a great week, here's a quick recap of last week's plan: Same as last week - equities were negative, but buyers stepped in Friday. The S&P 500 finished (-2.3%) and Nasdaq 100 (-2.5%). Friday was a 91% upside day, which can often signal short term bottoms, as it signals institutions are buying equities hand over fist. The only item … [Read more...] about Weekly Update – March 14th, 2025