Premium Updates

Hey everyone, I hope you had a great week, here's a quick recap of last week's plan: This was wrong, the market essentially did the opposite, and I hedged my Dow Industrials short on Wednesday. And while I still underperformed, that hedge saved my portfolio from any meaningful losses. Liquidity fell significantly (dark blue line), making the S&P 500's relative … [Read more...] about Weekly Update – June 30th, 2023

Hey everyone, This is my last weekend in Spain, and will hopefully be more active next week. Only wrench is that we're moving early July, but our new home won't pay for itself. Here's a quick recap of last week's plan: The market started falling once futures started trading on Sunday, and hasn't looked back. My liquidity model shows why I was bearish after June … [Read more...] about Weekly Update – June 23rd, 2023

Hey everyone, Quick reminder that I'm in Spain, and will be out here next weekend as well, and am thus not as active with the markets. I'm still providing my sentiment, which was fairly accurate last week. Here's a quick recap of last week's plan: The 14th was a good day for turning bullish, as the S&P 500 rose 2.5% from trough to peak. The 14th was … [Read more...] about Weekly Update – June 16th, 2023

Hey everyone, I hope you had a great week, here's a quick recap of last week's plan: I missed this one, as you can see from the S&P 500 futures below. Thankfully I closed most shorts for gains when I realized there may be a problem. I explained on Slack on Wednesday the positive correlation between yields and equities was failing, and closed my S&P 500 and … [Read more...] about Weekly Update – June 9th, 2023

Hey everyone, I hope you had a great week, here's a quick recap of last week's plan: This call was nailed, but I unfortunately did not capitalize on the equity run up. Thankfully, I made some money from shorting gold. Quick heads up, I will probably miss many of my calls next week. I'm taking the family to Spain, and like my last vacation, I won't be behind the … [Read more...] about Weekly Update – June 2nd, 2023