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Hey everyone, I hope you had a great week, here's a quick recap of last week's plan: Equities turned positive after the anticipated Fed rate cut, with the S&P 500 (+1.4%) and Nasdaq 100 (+1.4%). The rate cut has been perceived as bullish, as the Fed has finally started an easing cycle. As the cost of capital gets cheaper, businesses will invest more, which will … [Read more...] about Weekly Update – September 20th, 2024

Hey everyone, I hope you had a great week, here's a quick recap of last week's plan: Equities essentially reversed last week's losses, with the S&P 500 (-4.0%) and Nasdaq 100 (+5.9%). While I'm still bearish generally, the short term movements of the market hinges on what Powell says on September 18th. The Fed is expected to start cutting rates, and his initial … [Read more...] about Weekly Update – September 13th, 2024

Hey everyone, I hope you had a great week, here's a quick recap of last week's plan: Equities had a bad week, with the S&P 500 (-4.3%) and Nasdaq 100 (-5.9%). Despite the heavy selling on Tuesday and Friday, we still haven't seen a >90% downside day since August 5th. I have written over the past several seeks that "I will be looking for another drop before … [Read more...] about Weekly Update – September 6th, 2024

Hey everyone, I hope you had a great week, here's a quick recap of last week's plan: Equities had a mixed week, with the S&P 500 rising (+0.2%) and Nasdaq 100 (-0.7%). Much of the Nasdaq 100 drop was thanks to Nvidia, which fell nearly 8% after beating earnings. We saw some concerning reactions with earnings this week. Let's cover some of the dramatic … [Read more...] about Weekly Update – August 30th, 2024

Hey everyone, I hope you had a great week, here's a quick recap of last week's plan: Equities had another positive week, with the S&P 500 rising (+1.5%) and Nasdaq 100 (+1.1%). This was mostly driven by Friday, as Jerome Powell came in quite dovish at Jackson Hole, saying the "time has come" for a rate cut. While this rate cut seems bullish on paper, as it … [Read more...] about Weekly Update – August 23rd, 2024